Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 2.477174 2.859473 3.287461 3.803263 4.409581 5.101521 5.953635
2025-03-30 1.837566 2.322109 2.921226 3.721434 4.769690 6.106341 7.956074
2025-04-06 1.547785 2.077402 2.777397 3.780265 5.196464 7.149181 10.087732
2025-04-13 1.305137 1.836113 2.575632 3.695870 5.376313 7.845747 11.828391
2025-04-20 1.192008 1.748702 2.561233 3.855687 5.907568 9.105348 14.607537
2025-04-27 1.061966 1.614256 2.453176 3.848814 6.169424 9.976908 16.914619
2025-05-04 0.985746 1.549026 2.437322 3.976960 6.656563 11.276317 20.177018
2025-05-11 0.899991 1.456361 2.363387 3.994082 6.951050 12.283117 23.094550
2025-05-18 0.826320 1.373739 2.293971 4.005676 7.231112 13.298936 26.215361
2025-05-25 0.742160 1.263278 2.163172 3.888041 7.251006 13.821595 28.434980
2025-06-01 0.695175 1.212068 2.129517 3.943080 7.605749 15.049231 32.382878
2025-06-08 0.658290 1.174604 2.115646 4.032356 8.038859 16.502486 37.131274
2025-06-15 0.607050 1.111789 2.059743 4.057436 8.401076 17.995964 42.657105
2025-06-22 0.547772 1.028456 1.957491 3.980519 8.550359 19.094470 47.650570
2025-06-29 0.511110 0.983996 1.924895 4.043344 9.019843 21.031388 55.387883
2025-07-06 0.464174 0.913159 1.829214 3.952493 9.114191 22.077348 61.002127
2025-07-13 0.445873 0.898635 1.848810 4.124596 9.876708 24.994406 73.011641
2025-07-20 0.414590 0.852981 1.795423 4.117193 10.186434 26.781664 82.160947
2025-07-27 0.397381 0.835573 1.801942 4.255228 10.903923 29.877310 96.694889
2025-08-03 0.373284 0.800137 1.763022 4.273674 11.301271 32.143687 109.229406
2025-08-10 0.351078 0.766499 1.724118 4.286165 11.685598 34.470772 122.902797
2025-08-17 0.322591 0.715346 1.637514 4.159443 11.640875 35.436308 131.738085
2025-08-24 0.307332 0.693719 1.620226 4.218730 12.169702 38.427652 150.038498